Have you seen the analysis by Haviv Rettig Gur. I listened to his most recent podcast twice and his accompanying summary article in the Free Press. He maps out a detailed analysis to show that Trump is playing on a smaller chessboard and a larger chessboard. The smaller one is about nuclear deterrence. The larger one is a strategy to contain China's influence in the region, and draws the China connection between his actions in Venezuela and Iran. Also how destroying Iran's production of drones, 50,000 of which they produced and sold to Russia for use against Ukraine. Fascinating and compelling analysis.
Right, there are other crucial reasons. But the US administration can't publicly talk about the China aspect, because that would pressure China to get involved.
"Why wasn’t the missile intercepted? It’s not clear, but what is clear is that Israel very much limits the firing of intercepters. The reason is that there simply aren’t enough."
No system is 100% perfect. A friend and neighbour of mine who was intimately involved in the development of Iron Dome said that that system has an accuracy of well above 90% (he may have said 95%; I can't recall exactly). That, in itself, is fantastic and truly a miracle in a hidden manner.
The system that was supposed to have protected Beit Shemesh wasn't Iron Dome but the same comments apply. It's not 100% perfect but just look at how many incoming missiles have been intercepted. My understanding is that if the system sees that the target is an open field without human occupation then it will not destroy the incoming missile indeed to save our missile stockpile. But unfortunately something went wrong. Hopefully, analysis was subsequently done to understand what failed. It happened to us too. In Sept 2024 a missile was not intercepted and it landed in my yeshuv, Moreshet, and blew up. Fortunately, no one was injured; but many home and cars were destroyed.
This reasoning is a recipe for continuous war with Iran. You are starting with the assumption that deterrence and containment are impossible, even though that was the strategy for decades and it worked. The only two choices are regime change (which worked so well in Iraq) or fighting wars every 8 months or so.
I continue to be astounded at a) the quality of Israeli intel and b) the resilience of the Israeli population!
Have you seen the analysis by Haviv Rettig Gur. I listened to his most recent podcast twice and his accompanying summary article in the Free Press. He maps out a detailed analysis to show that Trump is playing on a smaller chessboard and a larger chessboard. The smaller one is about nuclear deterrence. The larger one is a strategy to contain China's influence in the region, and draws the China connection between his actions in Venezuela and Iran. Also how destroying Iran's production of drones, 50,000 of which they produced and sold to Russia for use against Ukraine. Fascinating and compelling analysis.
That moron couldn’t play checkers, let alone chess. Hell he’s an illiterate moron.
Note that Trump said he forced Israel to enter the war, not the reverse.
https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5764866-trump-forced-israel-iran/
From Israeli's perspective, yes.
And it's more than just that - Haviv Rettig Gur's understanding seems basically on the money: https://youtu.be/24ryHuOLVmQ
Right, there are other crucial reasons. But the US administration can't publicly talk about the China aspect, because that would pressure China to get involved.
"Why wasn’t the missile intercepted? It’s not clear, but what is clear is that Israel very much limits the firing of intercepters. The reason is that there simply aren’t enough."
No system is 100% perfect. A friend and neighbour of mine who was intimately involved in the development of Iron Dome said that that system has an accuracy of well above 90% (he may have said 95%; I can't recall exactly). That, in itself, is fantastic and truly a miracle in a hidden manner.
The system that was supposed to have protected Beit Shemesh wasn't Iron Dome but the same comments apply. It's not 100% perfect but just look at how many incoming missiles have been intercepted. My understanding is that if the system sees that the target is an open field without human occupation then it will not destroy the incoming missile indeed to save our missile stockpile. But unfortunately something went wrong. Hopefully, analysis was subsequently done to understand what failed. It happened to us too. In Sept 2024 a missile was not intercepted and it landed in my yeshuv, Moreshet, and blew up. Fortunately, no one was injured; but many home and cars were destroyed.
This reasoning is a recipe for continuous war with Iran. You are starting with the assumption that deterrence and containment are impossible, even though that was the strategy for decades and it worked. The only two choices are regime change (which worked so well in Iraq) or fighting wars every 8 months or so.
Deterrence and containment did not work. They very nearly failed absolutely catastrophically.