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Yakov's avatar

Slifkin scatters his luggage in the airport and charedim come to his mind. Hears about the mtzva of טעינה and anti-charedi thoughts come to him. And he thinks that this silly drivel has to be regurgitated forever to save the world from the parasitic charedim. He's been engaged in this enerprise for the last 15 years and what are the results? Charedim are more numerous, recieve increasing financial support and have not lost their political power.

Why doesn't Slifkin deal with the 75% dropout rate of the DL in the army, except to blame charedim for it? Because that society's education path is doomed and leads the majority off the derech and nothing can be done about it. But charedim, who avoid this disaster, become the target of his wrath.

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J.'s avatar

I'm just reading the bickering in the comments sectiom and I'm reminded of this quote from Upton Sinclair:

"It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it"

Charedim (and those who have bought into a Charedi ethos) can hardly admit that their socio-economic model is the biggest internal threat to the first (and amazingly successful!) experiment in Jewish self-determination in two millenia. The comments on your posts on this topic are a perfect example of this, with endless deflection from Charedi commenters, all aimed at avoiding admitting the obvious truths you point out.

Beyond the fact that this is something immensely difficult to admit, there's also the difficulty of appreciating what it means to be at an inflection point on an exponential curve. There were 1.35 million Charedim in Israel in 2023 - the Israeli statisical authority forecasts that there will be 5.83 million Charedim in 2062 vs 9.48 million non-Charedi Jews. That's only 38 years' time! Something major will have to give eventually, whether people realise it now or not.

While it's true that dealing with this issue now would save a much more challenging reckoning in a few decades, I struggle to see the necessary political will from non-Charedi Israelis materialising, given that they would be forced to stand firm on defunding Charedi institutions (and not allowing Charedi parties into governing coalitions) for a couple of decades, when immediate political considerations will always make it easier to just give in.

I'm ultimately optimistic, because Charedim are also חפצי חיים, and I don't see any other country accepting 5-10 million Charedim, and my guess is that the eventual crisis will lead to a dramatic shift, just as the crisis in Eastern Europe did a century ago, but unfortunately my guess is that the crisis will actually have to occur first.

I feel like a crazy person writing this, when the current situation is still manageable (albeit challenging and intolerable morally), but the demographics are hard to escape.

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