Rabbi Slifkin, you wrote: "State Religious / Religious Zionist Schools (Mamlachti-Dati): Enlistment sits at 85.1% for men (with 58.2% of women opting for National Service)."
This implies that only ~60% of Dati Leumi women serve in any capacity- I think you left out the statistic from the table that 30% of Dati Leumi HS graduates enlist in the army, for a total of 88.2% serving in some capacity
This is the famous reverse conditional probability fallacy. The probability of X given Y is not the same as the probability of Y given X. My favorite North American example is that while the majority of ice hockey players in the National Hockey League are Canadian, it is not true that the majority of Canadians play ice hockey in the National Hockey League.
We had a similar problem during COVID. In highly vaccinated communities, the majority of the COVID cases were in people who had been vaccinated, even though the likelihood of getting COVID was astronomically higher if you weren't vaccinated.
Rabbi Slifkin, you wrote: "State Religious / Religious Zionist Schools (Mamlachti-Dati): Enlistment sits at 85.1% for men (with 58.2% of women opting for National Service)."
This implies that only ~60% of Dati Leumi women serve in any capacity- I think you left out the statistic from the table that 30% of Dati Leumi HS graduates enlist in the army, for a total of 88.2% serving in some capacity
It's worth saving this information.
This is the famous reverse conditional probability fallacy. The probability of X given Y is not the same as the probability of Y given X. My favorite North American example is that while the majority of ice hockey players in the National Hockey League are Canadian, it is not true that the majority of Canadians play ice hockey in the National Hockey League.
We had a similar problem during COVID. In highly vaccinated communities, the majority of the COVID cases were in people who had been vaccinated, even though the likelihood of getting COVID was astronomically higher if you weren't vaccinated.
When they refer to "secular Israelis", do they include Arab Israelis? If so, the comparison isn't fair.